3/8/2024 0 Comments Nytimes florida electionsDavis, Dean Chang, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney, Esha Ray and Dagny Salas. Editing by Wilson Andrews, Felice Belman, William P. Mays, Amelia Nierenberg, Rick Rojas, Dana Rubinstein, Edgar Sandoval, Tracey Tully, Michael Wines and Kate Zernike. Chen, Emily Cochrane, Nicholas Fandos, Emma G. Lee, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Charlie Smart, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Here is a rundown of some of the most important wins and losses so far. Produced by Michael Andre, Cam Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Tiff Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, Will Houp, Jasmine C. Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times Voters in Florida, New York and Oklahoma went to the polls on Tuesday. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The Times publishes its own estimates for each candidate’s share of the final vote and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. Central/8 p.m.Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. Polls close in an hour and 15 minutes in most of Florida, and Democrats tend to vote a little later in the day, so they could eat a bit back into Republican margins. Biden probably needs to win independents by 7 points if the composition of the electorate continues to look like this. Nearly every poll says Biden leads with them, but the question is how much. Now, 24% of the electorate are no independent party affiliation/third party voters, so it's anyone's guess how they break. Not every Democrat is voting for Biden nor ever Republican for Trump, so we're using these raw ballot numbers as a sign of intensity. ![]() Biden wants to keep that margin at 2 or below. ![]() With Matthew Conlen, Andrew Fischer, Alice. We’ll have live estimates for Florida, Georgia and North Carolina. Republicans then stormed the polls today and led Democrats by about 184,000 ballots cast, or 1.7 points. Needle Update: What to Expect on Election Night. If he wins the Orlando-area district this. They began the day in a hole to Democrats in total ballots cast, with the Dems ahead by 115,000 early and absentee ballots cast, a margin of 1.3 percentage points. Maxwell Alejandro Frost, a 25-year-old activist, has won the Democratic primary in Florida’s 10th Congressional District. update, Republicans have been dominating the day in turnout, as expected. Florida’s abortion law is likely to change this year, one way or another. We're watching turnout and we can do it almost in real-time. I'm watching three things: Florida, Florida, Florida. To win like this, Biden would need a good share of independents (as much as a 7-point margin) or more GOP voters for him than Dem voters for Trump. So it could be higher or lower than R+1.8. We don’t know the final composition of the electorate. ![]() ![]() It was R+0.6 in 2016 when Trump won by 1.2 points. As of about 6:30, the GOP’s share of vote was 1.8 percentage points higher than the Democrats, known as an R+1.8 electorate. More Republicans are voting than Democrats in Florida. When more Republicans vote than Democrats, the Republican has won. Bottom line: when more Democrats vote than Republicans, the Democrat has won Florida. He would be the 1st top-of-the-ticket candidate to carry the state even though his party had a lower share of ballots cast than the opponent’s party. If Biden wins FL tonight, it will be unique. Polls are now closed in the Eastern Time Zone of FL, they'll be open for another hour in Central.
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